User's Guide
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Forecast Model Output (MOS) Analysis

MOS Data

There are two types of model output: surface and upper air.

Surface MOS
Surface MOS data is provided either from the Nested Grid Model (NGM) or Medium Range Forecast (MRF). These statistics are based upon the statistical climatology of how the conditions of a station react to the surrounding conditions represented by gridpoint values. The output of the NGM includes (to 60 hours):

The MRF MOS product gives forecast data out to 7 days and includes:

Upper Air MOS
This is forecast output which is derived directly from the models.  These are referred to as upper air MOS to avoid confusion with the surface MOS. This output includes:

The NGM and Eta models provide these statistics.

MOS Data Plotting

Model Output Statistics (MOS) data may be plotted with the fouswx program.  This program works much like the surface plotting program except a forecast time menu replaces the region menu.  MOS data cover many of the same stations that report surface data so data filtering (priority, grid filter) are applied based on the domain.  The forecast time menu ranges from 6 to 60 hours for NGM surface MOS, 1 to 7 days for MRF MOS, initial to 48 hours for upper air MOS. Once the forecast time has been selected, the menu listing the available variables to be plotted is displayed. There are several varieties of composite data plots:

mos_plot_lgnd.gif (2507 bytes)

Present Weather Determination

The estimated type of weather on NGM plots is based on the following information:

Precipitation type and intensity based on 6 hour information

Type 1 2 3 4 5
Rain R- R- R- R R+
Freezing ZR- ZR- ZR ZR+ ZR+
Snow S- S- S S+ S+

Precipitation type and intensity based on 12 hour information

Type 1 2 3 4 5 6
Rain R- R- R- R- R R+
Freezing ZR- ZR- ZR- ZR ZR+ ZR+
Snow S- S- S- S S+ S+
fouswx -cu -ft=h24 -va=all -de=d 
fouswx.gif (23258 bytes)

MOS Gridding and Contouring

The MOS data gridding and contouring program is focalc. This program works similar to the surface gridding program and the MOS data plotting program. A forecast time is selected for gridding and the variables to be contoured represent the input data plus standard derived variables. Once a forecast time and variable have been selected, the gridding and contouring are performed and displayed. Wind vectors may also be plotted using U and V wind component grids as input.

focalc -cu=la -ft=d2 -va=maxt -ct=rainbow.clr -cof=0-23 -de=d -pl=cf -in=5 -cb=0
focalc.gif (19788 bytes)

For further information about WXP, email devo@ks.unisys.com
Last updated by Dan Vietor on June 6, 1998

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